Form is points and expected goal involvement per 90 over a players last six starts, weighted towards the most recent. Its measured against his own season baseline — or, for someone just back from a lay-off, against last season. The scale is set within each position, so a defender is judged against defenders, not forwards.

Fixtures come from our team strength ratings — projected goals for the attacking side, projected goals against for clean sheets. Defenders and keepers are read on the clean-sheet outlook, midfielders and forwards on the attacking one, so the same fixture can be kind for one and unkind for the other.

The swing line is kept deliberately separate from form. Grading what a player did, and previewing the run hes walking into, are two different jobs — blending them into one number hides exactly the thing you want to see.

A few overlaps are intentional: we count both points and expected involvement, and for midfielders both defensive contribution and points. One thing we dont adjust for fixtures is defensive contribution. Players just back from injury are shown as hollow dots — their height on the plot is provisional, so lead with the fixtures. Anyone with too few recent minutes is marked Low sample rather than hidden.